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Prediction markets

14 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang
Hong Wang94%
Yu Deng
Yu Deng92%9 more
$578KVol. Jul 30science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest68%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest24%2 more
$7.1KVol. Jul 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

0
83%YesNo
1
16%YesNo
$6.8KVol. Jul 12science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+94%
90-100mm2%6 more
$2.6KVol. Jul 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

5%

chance

YesNo
$118KVol. Mar 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3166%
August 30
August 3057%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

≤8
91%YesNo
9
3%YesNo
$6.0KVol. Jul 12science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

425-450mm
425-450mm34%
525-550mm
525-550mm33%8 more
$1.4KVol. Jul 31science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

12%

chance

YesNo
$576KVol. Dec 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

<10041%
100–12933%7 more
$1.2KVol. Aug 1science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

4-5"
4-5"57%
3-4"
3-4"52%4 more
$178.50Vol. Jul 31science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC60%
1.25–1.29ºC30%4 more
$2.2KVol. Aug 1science